Tormere After-Market Digest
September 23, 2026
Prepared by Tormere Research:Communications (TR:C)
Top headlines

Pressure from the bond market hits a new level, and US stocks slide on worries about inflation

The S&P 500 fell 0.8% to 7,706.03, the Dow dropped 0.7% (352 points) to 51,511.59 and the Nasdaq sank 1.1% to 26,936.04. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 5.10% from 4.96% late Tuesday, briefly reaching 5.14%. Fed Governor Michael Barr said further rate hikes “are likely to be needed” to reach the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Associated Press

10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007 as market prices in another Fed rate hike

The 10-year yield reached 5.12%, its highest since 2007, and the 30-year touched 5.37%, as oil prices rose and business activity exceeded expectations. Investors raised bets on an October Fed rate hike to 70%. EY-Parthenon chief economist Gregory Daco: “We believe the Fed is on track for an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in December.” Yahoo Finance

Travel Booking Stocks Tumble as Muse Threatens to Bypass Them: Expedia Falls 7%, Airbnb Drops 6%, Booking Holdings Sinks 5%

As of 2:08 PM ET, Expedia was down 7% to $260.33, Airbnb down 6% to $151.66 and Booking Holdings down 5% to $156.02. Meta’s new AI agent “can book a flight or hotel room without ever visiting Expedia, Airbnb, or Booking Holdings.” Meta rose 2% to $751.12. 24/7 Wall St.

Markets close
Close: Sep 23, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
AssetCloseChg%
S&P 500^GSPC7,706.03-58.61-0.75%
Nasdaq Composite^IXIC26,936.04-308.24-1.13%
Dow Jones^DJI51,511.59-352.10-0.68%
CBOE Volatility Index^VIX15.18+0.97+6.83%
U.S. Dollar IndexDXY · 4:00 PM ET101.11+0.56+0.56%
Brent CrudeICE Nov '26 · 2:30 PM ET settle$103.08+$3.83+3.86%
GoldCOMEX Dec '26 · 1:30 PM ET settle$4,318.00-$58.50-1.34%
U.S. Treasury Yields
Prints through Sep 23, 2026
Chg and % measured vs the prior print, Sep 22, 2026
TenorCloseChg%
1-MonthT-bill3.99%+2bp+0.50%
3-MonthT-bill4.19%+3bp+0.72%
6-MonthT-bill4.31%+5bp+1.17%
1-YearT-note4.49%+6bp+1.35%
2-YearT-note4.85%+14bp+2.97%
5-YearT-note4.99%+16bp+3.31%
10-YearT-note5.11%+15bp+3.02%
30-YearT-bond5.40%+11bp+2.08%
Sectors & breadth
Sector performance
Energy · XLE+0.95%
Industrials · XLI-0.10%
Cons. Staples · XLP-0.36%
Technology · XLK-0.47%
Financials · XLF-0.47%
Materials · XLB-0.49%
Today's leading S&P 500 movers
PANW+5.03%
CRWD+4.97%
VEEV+3.71%
PAYX-8.77%
EXPE-7.72%
ABNB-7.56%
Economic calendar
High
Medium
Low
A actual · F forecast · P previous · All times ET
23
Wed
Today
USD9:45 AM
S&P Global flash manufacturing & composite PMI (Sep)
A comp. 58.4 · mfg 57.0 · P comp. 56.0 · mfg 53.9
USD11:05 AM
Fed Governor Barr speaks (Housing Affordability 2026, Chicago)
USD1:00 PM
5-year note auction, $70bn
24
Thu
USD8:30 AM
Initial jobless claims
USD8:30 AM
U.S. international transactions (Q2)
USD10:00 AM
New home sales (Aug)
USD1:00 PM
7-year note auction, $44bn
25
Fri
USD8:30 AM
Durable goods orders (Aug)
28
Mon
29
Tue
USD10:00 AM
JOLTS job openings (Aug)
USD10:00 AM
Conference Board consumer confidence (Sep)
The forward look
TR:C thesis
Rates, not equities, set the tone today. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.11%, up 15bp on the session and the highest level since 2007 per Yahoo Finance, as a September flash PMI well above expectations (composite 58.4, manufacturing 57.0) and Governor Barr’s comment that further hikes “are likely to be needed” pushed Fed funds futures toward a further increase; exact odds vary by source. The front end repriced more than the long end, with the 2-year up 14bp to 4.85% and the 5-year up 16bp to 4.99%, reversing the bull-flattening of recent sessions. Duration-sensitive equities de-rated accordingly, the Nasdaq (-1.13%) trailing the Dow (-0.68%), with Energy the only sector higher as November Brent settled at $103.08, back above $100 after Tuesday’s $99.25. Single-name dispersion was pronounced: travel intermediaries (EXPE, ABNB, BKNG) sold off on Meta’s Muse agent, PAYX fell after earnings, and cybersecurity (PANW, CRWD) extended its bid. The tape now turns to Thursday’s 7-year auction as a test of demand at a 5%-plus 10-year, followed by August personal income and outlays (PCE) and the GDP third estimate on September 30, and September payrolls on October 2.
Tormere Research:Communications · Tormere Analytics
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